Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?. Current implied probability: 0% yes. Total volume: $10.6M. Resolves April 1, 2027. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
Recent US-Iran diplomacy centers on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which established a 60-day roadmap for a final agreement covering nuclear limits, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz navigation, reconstruction funding, and Lebanon deconfliction. Technical talks in Switzerland produced working groups on these issues, yet core commitments remain unfulfilled amid disputes over insp…
Rules summary
On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue.(see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person dipl…
