Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?. Current implied probability: 0% yes. Total volume: $10.6M. Resolves April 1, 2027. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.

⭐ FeaturedUS x Iran diplomatic meetingPoliticsU.S. x IranTrumpVance

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Opens Resolves
Total volume
$10.6M
24h volume
$49K
Liquidity
$366K
Open interest
$536K
Resolves
Apr 1, 2027
Comments
7d volume
$646K
30d volume
$2.1M
1yr volume
$2.5M
Competitive
99.4%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? 1.0% 1d 3.0% 1w
1.0% spread
61%
2US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? 8.0% 1w
1.0% spread
42%
3US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? 2.0% 1d 12.0% 1w 39.0% 1m
1.0% spread
13%
4US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? 0.3% 1d 1.5% 1w 31.3% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
5US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? 23.9% 1w
0.1% spread
0%
6US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 26, 2026?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 26, 2026? 0.3% 1d
0.1% spread
0%
7US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? 0.3% 1d 1.7% 1w
0.1% spread
0%
8US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? 0.3% 1d 5.5% 1w 63.4% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
9US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? 0.3% 1d 18.4% 1w
0.1% spread
0%
10US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? 0.3% 1d 5.5% 1w
0.1% spread
0%
11US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? 0.2% 1d 3.5% 1w
0.1% spread
0%
Min order: 5 USDCTick: 0.001Maker rewards ≥ 200 USDCMax spread: 4.5%
Order BookJuly 3
Mid 0.1¢
PriceContractsTotal
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Price change 23.9% 1w
📊 Market context

Recent US-Iran diplomacy centers on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which established a 60-day roadmap for a final agreement covering nuclear limits, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz navigation, reconstruction funding, and Lebanon deconfliction. Technical talks in Switzerland produced working groups on these issues, yet core commitments remain unfulfilled amid disputes over insp…

Rules summary

On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue.(see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person dipl…

Buy Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
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Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? — Odds & Predictions 2026 | OpenFlow