Next Prime Minister of Romania?. Current implied probability: 0% yes. Total volume: $3.2M. Resolves May 31, 2026. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
PoliticsRomaniaBolojatMain Election
Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Opens Resolves
Total volume
$3.2M
24h volume
$3K
Liquidity
$713K
Open interest
$124K
Resolves
May 31, 2026
Comments
440
7d volume
$41K
30d volume
$510K
1yr volume
$1.5M
Competitive
98.7%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 7.6% 1w▲ 5.9% 1m
0.3% spread
38%
2
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?▼ 7.8% 1w▲ 3.2% 1m
1.6% spread
14%
3
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?▼ 0.1% 1d▲ 0.2% 1w▲ 0.4% 1m
1.2% spread
5%
4
Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 1.1% 1w
2.8% spread
2%
5
Will Dan Motreanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?▼ 0.9% 1w▲ 0.4% 1m
3.5% spread
2%
6
Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?▲ 0.5% 1w▲ 0.3% 1m
1.0% spread
2%
7
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?▲ 0.1% 1d▲ 1.1% 1w▲ 0.9% 1m
1.9% spread
2%
8
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?▲ 0.1% 1d▲ 0.2% 1w▼ 4.4% 1m
0.9% spread
1%
9
Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?▲ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.2% 1m
0.4% spread
5%
10
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?▼ 0.1% 1d▲ 0.5% 1w▲ 0.5% 1m
1.3% spread
1%
11
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?▼ 1.3% 1d▼ 1.8% 1w▼ 2.1% 1m
0.2% spread
1%
12
Will Traian Basescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?▼ 0.2% 1d▼ 0.3% 1w▲ 0.7% 1m
1.3% spread
0%
13
Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?▲ 0.3% 1w
0.6% spread
1%
14
Will Hunor Kelemen be the next Prime Minister of Romania?▲ 0.5% 1m
0.9% spread
0%
15
Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.3% 1m
0.8% spread
0%
16
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?▼ 0.5% 1w▼ 22.5% 1m
0.6% spread
0%
17
Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?▲ 0.4% 1m
0.6% spread
1%
18
Will Anca Dragu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?▲ 0.2% 1w▲ 0.2% 1m
0.3% spread
0%
19
Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?▲ 0.2% 1w▲ 0.1% 1m
0.5% spread
0%
20
Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?▲ 0.1% 1m
0.5% spread
0%
21
Will Cătălin Drulă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?▼ 0.1% 1w▲ 0.1% 1m
0.4% spread
0%
22
Will Raluca Turcan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?▲ 0.1% 1m
0.4% spread
0%
23
Will Vasile Dîncu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?▲ 0.1% 1m
0.3% spread
0%
24
Will Dominic Fritz be the next Prime Minister of Romania?▲ 0.1% 1m
0.3% spread
0%
25
Will Mugur Isărescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
0.1% spread
0%
26
Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania?▼ 0.4% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
27
Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
0.1% spread
0%
28
Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania?▼ 0.5% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
29
Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
0.1% spread
0%
30
Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?▼ 0.4% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
31
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?▼ 0.4% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
32
Will Dacian Cioloș be the next Prime Minister of Romania?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.4% 1m
0.2% spread
0%
33
Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
0.1% spread
0%
34
Will Marcel Ciolacu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
35
Will Emil Boc be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
0.1% spread
0%
36
Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
0.1% spread
0%
37
Will someone else be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Romania's ongoing political crisis following the May 2026 no-confidence vote that ended Ilie Bolojan's grand coalition has left parliament fragmented, with pro-European parties lacking a clear majority and negotiations ongoing among PNL, PSD, USR, UDMR, and others. President Nicușor Dan's June 14 nomination of Adrian Veștea as prime minister-designate has positioned him as the frontrunner, though …
Rules summary
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to…
