Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?. Current implied probability: 0% yes. Total volume: $185.3M. Resolves June 1, 2026. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
EthiopiaElectionsMain ElectionGlobal Elections
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Opens Resolves
Total volume
$185.3M
24h volume
$5.7M
Liquidity
$139K
Open interest
$29K
Resolves
Jun 1, 2026
Comments
34
7d volume
$27.6M
30d volume
$168.9M
1yr volume
$185.3M
Competitive
82.4%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?▼ 0.3% 1d▼ 1.5% 1w▲ 0.3% 1m
1.4% spread
97%
2
Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?▲ 0.1% 1d▲ 0.2% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.4% spread
1%
3
Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.2% spread
1%
4
Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?▼ 0.1% 1d▲ 0.2% 1w▲ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
5
Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.5% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
6
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?▼ 0.1% 1d▲ 0.1% 1w▲ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
7
Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?▲ 0.1% 1w
0.2% spread
0%
8
Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?▼ 0.4% 1w▼ 0.5% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
9
Will another person be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Abiy Ahmed’s commanding position in the market stems from the Prosperity Party’s expected landslide in Ethiopia’s June 1, 2026 parliamentary elections, which determines the prime minister. The party secured a parliamentary majority amid a fragmented opposition, security disruptions that suspended voting in parts of Oromia and Amhara, and the exclusion of Tigray from the ballot. As the incumbent si…
Rules summary
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be off…
