OpenFlowNext French Presidential Election. Current implied probability: 33% yes. Total volume: $123.8M. Resolves April 30, 2027. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen holds the top position in the 2027 French presidential race through consistent first-round leads of 33-35% in recent polls, supported by the National Rally's consolidated base on immigration and euroskepticism. Édouard Philippe trails at roughly 15-21% as the leading centrist contender, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon has risen to 14-19% and now contests second place in multiple scenarios, …
Rules summary
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second rou…