Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?. Current implied probability: 0% yes. Total volume: $5.8M. Resolves April 30, 2026. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
Middle EastIsraelIranGeopolitics
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
Opens Resolves
Total volume
$5.8M
24h volume
$69K
Liquidity
$161K
Open interest
$272K
Resolves
Apr 30, 2026
Comments
399
7d volume
$1.1M
30d volume
$3.3M
1yr volume
$3.3M
Competitive
96.0%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?▲ 1.0% 1d▼ 8.0% 1w
2.0% spread
30%
2
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?▼ 1.0% 1d▼ 6.0% 1w
1.0% spread
14%
3
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?▼ 2.0% 1w
1.0% spread
10%
4
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?▼ 1.3% 1d▼ 4.3% 1w▼ 33.3% 1m
0.2% spread
2%
5
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?
0.1% spread
0%
6
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?
0.1% spread
0%
7
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?
0.1% spread
0%
8
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?▼ 0.7% 1d▼ 3.1% 1w▼ 28.9% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
9
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?▼ 0.7% 1d▼ 3.1% 1w▼ 9.4% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
10
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 3.3% 1w▼ 10.9% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
11
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?▼ 0.6% 1d▼ 3.5% 1w
0.1% spread
0%
12
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?▼ 0.5% 1d▼ 2.2% 1w
0.1% spread
0%
13
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 19?▼ 0.7% 1d
Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran’s Supreme Leader in early March 2026 following his father Ali Khamenei’s death in late February U.S.-Israeli strikes. Since then, he has issued written statements and audio messages read on state television but has made no verified live public appearances, fueling trader focus on his reported injuries—including facial and leg wounds—from the initial attack. Reco…
Rules summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for…
