What are the current odds for: Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

According to OpenFlow's prediction market aggregator, the current implied probability is 0% as of 2026-08-30. Total volume on this market is $7.0M. This market resolves on January 1, 2027.

How does OpenFlow aggregate prediction market odds?

OpenFlow aggregates live order books across on-chain prediction market venues, applies cross-venue price improvement, and displays unified Yes/No implied probabilities. Users trade on their own exchange — OpenFlow routes fills and settles exchange-to-exchange via USDC on Solana.

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?. Current implied probability: 0% yes. Total volume: $7.0M. Resolves January 1, 2027. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.

Middle EastIsraelIranGeopolitics

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Opens Mar 9, 2026Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Total volume

$7.0M

24h volume

$34K

Liquidity

$174K

Open interest

$399K

Resolves

Jan 1, 2027

Comments

424

7d volume

$162K

30d volume

$881K

1yr volume

$1.4M

Competitive

92.5%

Odds history

#OutcomeChance

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?▼ 2.0% 1d▼ 5.0% 1w▼ 1.5% 1m

1.0% spread

22%

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?▼ 1.0% 1d▼ 2.0% 1w

3.0% spread

14%

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?▼ 1.0% 1w▼ 3.5% 1m

1.0% spread

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 1.5% 1w▼ 4.0% 1m

0.1% spread

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?

0.1% spread

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?

0.1% spread

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?

0.1% spread

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?▼ 0.7% 1d▼ 3.1% 1w▼ 28.9% 1m

0.1% spread

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?▼ 0.7% 1d▼ 3.1% 1w▼ 9.4% 1m

0.1% spread

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 3.3% 1w▼ 10.9% 1m

0.1% spread

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?▼ 0.6% 1d▼ 3.5% 1w

0.1% spread

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?▼ 0.5% 1d▼ 2.2% 1w

0.1% spread

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 19?▼ 0.7% 1d

0.1% spread

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?▼ 0.3% 1d▼ 0.8% 1w▼ 26.5% 1m

0.1% spread

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 4?

100.0% spread

Min order: 5 USDCTick: 0.001Maker rewards ≥ 200 USDCMax spread: 5.5%

Order BookMarch 13

Mid 0.1¢

PriceContractsTotal

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📊 Market context

Mojtaba Khamenei has remained out of public view since succeeding his father as Iran’s supreme leader in early March 2026 following the February 28 strikes that killed Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. He has issued only written statements and avoided live events, including his father’s July funeral and related mourning ceremonies, amid reports of injuries to his legs, face, and arms sustained in the attack…

Rules summary

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for…