MLS Cup Winner 2026. Current implied probability: 1% yes. Total volume: $19.3M. Resolves December 19, 2026. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
SoccerMLSSports
MLS Cup Winner 2026
Opens Resolves
Total volume
$19.3M
24h volume
$46K
Liquidity
$812K
Open interest
$101K
Resolves
Dec 19, 2026
Comments
10
7d volume
$57K
30d volume
$430K
1yr volume
$6.6M
Competitive
96.7%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?▲ 2.0% 1d▲ 2.5% 1w▲ 13.0% 1m
1.0% spread
31%
2
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?▲ 0.1% 1d▲ 0.1% 1w▲ 0.8% 1m
0.9% spread
12%
3
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?▲ 0.1% 1d▲ 0.1% 1w▼ 1.1% 1m
0.4% spread
8%
4
Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?▼ 0.1% 1d▲ 1.3% 1w▲ 2.9% 1m
0.3% spread
6%
5
Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
1.0% spread
5%
6
Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w▲ 0.9% 1m
0.1% spread
5%
7
Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
4%
8
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?▲ 0.9% 1m
0.1% spread
4%
9
Will Sporting Kansas City win the 2026 MLS Cup?▲ 0.1% 1d▲ 2.3% 1w▲ 3.5% 1m
5.4% spread
0%
10
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
2%
11
Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?▼ 2.1% 1m
0.1% spread
2%
12
Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup?▼ 0.6% 1m
0.1% spread
2%
13
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
2%
14
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup?▲ 0.1% 1w▲ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
2%
15
Will San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 1.0% 1m
0.1% spread
2%
16
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?▲ 0.1% 1d▲ 0.1% 1w▲ 0.3% 1m
0.2% spread
1%
17
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.4% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
18
Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup?▲ 0.1% 1w▲ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
19
Will D.C. United win the 2026 MLS Cup?▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
20
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?▲ 0.1% 1d▲ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
21
Will Toronto FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
22
Will FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup?▲ 0.1% 1d▲ 0.1% 1w▲ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
23
Will Atlanta United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
0.2% spread
1%
24
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
25
Will Colorado Rapids win the 2026 MLS Cup?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.4% 1m
0.4% spread
1%
26
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
27
Will St. Louis City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
28
Will Austin FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?▲ 0.1% 1d▲ 0.1% 1w▲ 0.1% 1m
0.4% spread
0%
29
Will CF Montréal win the 2026 MLS Cup?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.3% spread
0%
30
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
Inter Miami CF holds the top implied probability at 18.5% largely due to Lionel Messi's continued scoring impact and a potent attack that has kept the club near the top of the Eastern Conference standings midway through the 2026 regular season. Vancouver Whitecaps FC sits second in market pricing at 11.7% on the strength of a strong Western Conference record and defensive organization, while Nashv…
Rules summary
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
