Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?. Current implied probability: 0% yes. Total volume: $2.2M. Resolves December 31, 2027. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
IPOsSpaceXBig TechBusiness
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
Opens Resolves
Total volume
$2.2M
24h volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$72K
Resolves
Dec 31, 2027
Comments
19
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?▲ 4.5% 1d▲ 40.5% 1w▲ 77.0% 1m
0.1% spread
100%
2
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?▼ 1.2% 1d▼ 37.0% 1w▼ 48.4% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
3
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?▼ 0.4% 1w▼ 1.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
4
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?▼ 7.6% 1w▼ 13.5% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
5
Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
6
Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
7
Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
8
Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
9
Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
10
Will another Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
100.0% spread
0%
11
Will Bank A or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
100.0% spread
0%
12
Will Bank B or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
100.0% spread
0%
13
Will Bank C or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
100.0% spread
0%
14
Will Bank D or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
100.0% spread
0%
15
Will Bank E or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
100.0% spread
0%
16
Will Bank F or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
100.0% spread
0%
17
Will Bank G or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
100.0% spread
0%
18
Will Bank H or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
100.0% spread
0%
19
Will Bank I or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
100.0% spread
0%
20
Will Bank J or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
100.0% spread
0%
21
Will Bank K or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
100.0% spread
0%
22
Will Bank L or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
100.0% spread
0%
23
Will Bank M or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
100.0% spread
0%
24
Will Bank N or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
100.0% spread
0%
25
Will Bank O or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
100.0% spread
0%
26
Will Bank P or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
100.0% spread
0%
27
Will Bank Q or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
100.0% spread
0%
28
Will Bank R or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
100.0% spread
0%
29
Will Bank S or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
100.0% spread
0%
30
Will Bank T or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
100.0% spread
0%
Min order: 5 USDCTick: 0.001
Order BookMorgan Stanley
Mid 0.1¢
PriceContractsTotal
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Price change▼ 1.2% 1d▼ 37.0% 1w▼ 48.4% 1m
📊 Market context
SpaceX’s selection of Goldman Sachs for the lead-left position on its IPO prospectus has driven overwhelming trader consensus, as the company disclosed this role following an intense competition among Wall Street firms. Recent filings and reporting confirm Goldman’s top billing ahead of other bookrunners, reflecting its established relationship with Elon Musk-led ventures and expertise in large te…
Rules summary
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order i…
