Largest Company end of December 2026?. Current implied probability: 1% yes. Total volume: $6.5M. Resolves December 31, 2026. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.

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Largest Company end of December 2026?

Opens Resolves
Total volume
$6.5M
24h volume
$34K
Liquidity
$1.3M
Open interest
$431K
Resolves
Dec 31, 2026
Comments
7d volume
$331K
30d volume
$1.5M
1yr volume
$6.5M
Competitive
93.7%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? 0.5% 1d 3.5% 1w 20.0% 1m
2.0% spread
75%
2Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? 0.5% 1d 0.8% 1w 6.0% 1m
0.1% spread
15%
3Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? 1.0% 1w 8.0% 1m
1.0% spread
8%
4Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? 0.5% 1d 0.4% 1w 0.4% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
5Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? 0.2% 1d 0.1% 1w 0.5% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
6Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
7Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
8Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? 0.1% 1w 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
9Will Company C be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Will Company C be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
10Will Company E be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Will Company E be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
11Will Company G be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Will Company G be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
12Will Company I be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Will Company I be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
13Will Company K be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Will Company K be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
14Will Company M be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Will Company M be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
15Will Company O be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Will Company O be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
16Will Company Q be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Will Company Q be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
17Will Company S be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Will Company S be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
18Will any other company be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Will any other company be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
19Will Company B be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Will Company B be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
20Will Company D be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Will Company D be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
21Will Company F be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Will Company F be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
22Will Company H be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Will Company H be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
23Will Company J be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Will Company J be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
24Will Company L be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Will Company L be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
25Will Company N be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Will Company N be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
26Will Company P be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Will Company P be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
27Will Company R be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Will Company R be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
28Will Company T be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Will Company T be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
Min order: 5 USDCTick: 0.001Maker rewards ≥ 100 USDCMax spread: 2.5%
Order BookMicrosoft
Mid 1.2¢
PriceContractsTotal
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Price change 0.5% 1d 0.4% 1w 0.4% 1m
📊 Market context

NVIDIA's dominant position in AI accelerators continues to drive exceptional revenue growth and market capitalization expansion, underpinning the 76% implied probability it will hold the title of largest company by end-December 2026. Traders are pricing in sustained data-center demand outpacing Apple's services-heavy model and Alphabet's advertising exposure, with recent earnings beats and forward…

Rules summary

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Buy Yes · Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
You're paying
$USDC
Implied chance1%
Shares0
To win
Bid 0.9¢Ask 1.0¢Spread 0.1¢
Largest Company end of December 2026? — Odds & Predictions 2026 | OpenFlow