Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

Lai Ching-te began his four-year presidential term in May 2024 following the 2024 election, placing the December 31, 2026, cutoff firmly inside that fixed mandate with the next scheduled vote set for 2028. Opposition parties launched impeachment proceedings in late 2025 over legislative disputes, yet the May 2026 Legislative Yuan vote fell well short of the required two-thirds supermajority. Faile…

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this ma…