Israeli parliament dissolved by...?. Current implied probability: 100% yes. Total volume: $2.2M. Resolves June 30, 2026. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
WorldIsraelPoliticsMiddle East
Israeli parliament dissolved by...?
Opens Resolves
Total volume
$2.2M
24h volume
$13K
Liquidity
$45K
Open interest
$109K
Resolves
Jun 30, 2026
Comments
92
7d volume
$251K
30d volume
$413K
1yr volume
$495K
Competitive
97.4%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?▲ 0.1% 1d▲ 20.8% 1w▲ 43.8% 1m
0.1% spread
99%
2
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 17?▲ 1.7% 1d
0.1% spread
95%
3
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?▼ 3.9% 1d
5.7% spread
69%
4
Israeli parliament dissolved by October 31?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 1.8% 1w▼ 7.4% 1m
0.1% spread
100%
5
Israeli parliament dissolved by December 31?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 1.6% 1w▼ 5.7% 1m
0.1% spread
100%
6
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?▼ 0.5% 1d▼ 7.5% 1w▼ 17.5% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
7
Israeli parliament dissolved by February 28?
100.0% spread
0%
8
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?▼ 10.4% 1w▼ 49.5% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
9
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?▼ 0.2% 1d▼ 2.8% 1w
0.1% spread
0%
10
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?▼ 0.3% 1d▼ 5.5% 1w
Israel's Knesset faces dissolution amid coalition fractures over ultra-Orthodox military draft exemptions, with Haredi parties withdrawing support from Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government. Lawmakers advanced a coalition-backed dissolution bill through a preliminary reading in May and its first reading on June 2 with near-unanimous votes, setting a potential election window between Septe…
Rules summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 3 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
