IsraelMiddle EastGeopoliticsWorld

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

Opens Resolves
Total volume
$2.1M
24h volume
$1
Liquidity
$11K
Open interest
$12K
Resolves
Dec 31, 2026
Comments
36
7d volume
$25K
30d volume
$64K
1yr volume
$1.5M
Competitive
83.5%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? 4.0% 1w 7.0% 1m
1.0% spread
5%
2Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025? 0.6% 1d 0.4% 1w 2.8% 1m
0.1% spread
100%
3Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026? 0.2% 1d 0.4% 1w 3.1% 1m
1.2% spread
0%
Min order: 5 USDCTick: 0.001Maker rewards ≥ 100 USDCMax spread: 3.5%
Order BookDecember 31, 2025
Mid 100.0¢
PriceContractsTotal
Loading…
Price change 0.6% 1d 0.4% 1w 2.8% 1m
📊 Market context

**Recent US-mediated security talks between Israel and Syria, including a January 2026 Paris agreement on intelligence-sharing and de-escalation mechanisms, have established limited coordination channels but have not progressed to formal normalization.** Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa stated in April 2026 that Damascus reached preliminary points in direct and indirect negotiations only for Israe…

Rules summary

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Buy Yes · Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?
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