IsraelWorldGeopoliticsIndonesia

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

Opens Resolves
Total volume
$3.5M
24h volume
$0
Liquidity
$13K
Open interest
$17K
Resolves
Dec 31, 2026
Comments
18
Competitive
85.3%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? 3.5% 1m
1.0% spread
8%
2Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? 0.7% 1w 2.5% 1m
0.2% spread
0%
Min order: 5 USDCTick: 0.01
Order BookDecember 31, 2026
Mid 8.0¢
PriceContractsTotal
Loading…
Price change 3.5% 1m
📊 Market context

Indonesia’s longstanding policy conditions formal diplomatic recognition of Israel on the latter’s acknowledgment of an independent Palestinian state, a stance reaffirmed by President Prabowo Subianto in his September 2025 UN General Assembly address and subsequent statements. No such Israeli recognition has occurred, and recent Indonesian actions—including condemnations tied to Gaza developments—…

Rules summary

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Buy Yes · Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
You're paying
$USDC
Implied chance9%
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To win
Bid 8.0¢Ask 9.0¢Spread 1.0¢