Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?. Current implied probability: 0% yes. Total volume: $6.3M. Resolves July 31, 2026. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
⭐ FeaturedIranTrumpPoliticsAgreement
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
Opens Resolves
Total volume
$6.3M
24h volume
$500K
Liquidity
$364K
Open interest
$925K
Resolves
Jul 31, 2026
Comments
232
7d volume
$2.5M
30d volume
$3.5M
1yr volume
$3.5M
Competitive
93.7%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?▼ 16.5% 1d▼ 1.0% 1w
2.0% spread
26%
2
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?▼ 10.5% 1d▼ 2.5% 1w
2.0% spread
14%
3
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?▼ 13.5% 1d▼ 4.5% 1w
2.0% spread
8%
4
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?▼ 11.1% 1d▼ 4.8% 1w
0.2% spread
3%
5
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?▼ 0.4% 1d▼ 5.9% 1w
0.1% spread
0%
6
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?▼ 1.4% 1d
0.1% spread
1%
7
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 3.6% 1w
0.1% spread
0%
8
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?▼ 0.4% 1d
Iran and the United States signed a 14-point memorandum of understanding in mid-June 2026 that ended active hostilities, reopened the Strait of Hormuz, and launched a 60-day window for technical negotiations on a final agreement covering nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and regional ceasefires including Lebanon. As of June 21–22, talks in Switzerland have focused on sequencing, with Iranian negot…
Rules summary
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a memorandum of understanding ending the immediate conflict and establishing a 60-day framework for negotiating a final agreement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Iranian government, or an authorized representative of the Iranian government, publicly and officially announces its termination of participation in the negotiation process toward the final agreement contemplated by the June 14, 2026 MOU between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A termination means a defini…
