Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028. Current implied probability: 0% yes. Total volume: $1268.3M. Resolves November 7, 2028. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.

⭐ FeaturedWorld ElectionsElectionsPoliticsUS Election

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Opens Resolves
Total volume
$1.27B
24h volume
$160K
Liquidity
$80.8M
Open interest
$9.9M
Resolves
Nov 7, 2028
Comments
807
7d volume
$2.2M
30d volume
$17.7M
1yr volume
$1.25B
Competitive
91.6%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.7% 1d 2.5% 1w 6.8% 1m
0.9% spread
19%
2Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.6% 1d 0.8% 1w 1.8% 1m
0.1% spread
16%
3Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.1% 1d 0.4% 1w 4.7% 1m
0.1% spread
14%
4Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.3% 1d 0.3% 1w 0.9% 1m
0.2% spread
8%
5Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.1% 1d 0.1% 1w 0.1% 1m
0.2% spread
5%
6Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
5%
7Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.1% 1d 0.2% 1w 0.1% 1m
0.2% spread
3%
8Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.1% 1d 0.2% 1w 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
3%
9Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.3% 1w 1.3% 1m
0.1% spread
2%
10Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.1% 1d 0.1% 1w 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
2%
11Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
2%
12Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.1% 1w 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
13Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0.1% spread
1%
14Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.1% 1w 0.8% 1m
0.2% spread
1%
15Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
16Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.1% 1w 0.5% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
17Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.1% 1w
0.1% spread
1%
18Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0.1% spread
1%
19Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 1.7% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
20Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0.1% spread
1%
21Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.1% 1w 0.1% 1m
0.2% spread
0%
22Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
23Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.1% 1d 0.1% 1w 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
24Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
25Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0.1% spread
0%
26Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
27Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.1% 1w 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
28Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
29Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0.1% spread
0%
30Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
31Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
32Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
33Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
34Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0.1% spread
0%
35Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
36Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
37Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0.1% spread
0%
38Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0.1% spread
0%
39Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.1% 1w 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
40Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
41Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
42Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
43Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
44Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
45Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.7% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
46Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
47Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
48Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
49Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
50Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
51Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
52Will another person win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will another person win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100.0% spread
0%
Min order: 5 USDCTick: 0.001
Order BookStephen A. Smith
Mid 0.2¢
PriceContractsTotal
Loading…
Price change 0.1% 1w 0.3% 1m 1.9% 1y
📊 Market context

The fragmented trader consensus for the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee reflects an unusually open field more than two years before the first primaries, with no candidate exceeding 20% implied probability. National polls show Kamala Harris maintaining the largest share of support among Democratic voters, while Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, and Gavin Newsom lead or cluster near the top…

Rules summary

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Buy Yes · Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
You're paying
$USDC
Implied chance0%
Shares0
To win
Bid 0.2¢Ask 0.3¢Spread 0.1¢
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Odds & Predictions 2026 | OpenFlow