What are the current odds for: California Governor Election Winner

According to OpenFlow's prediction market aggregator, the current implied probability is 0% as of 2026-07-16. Total volume on this market is $40.3M. This market resolves on November 3, 2026.

How does OpenFlow aggregate prediction market odds?

OpenFlow aggregates live order books across on-chain prediction market venues, applies cross-venue price improvement, and displays unified Yes/No implied probabilities. Users trade on their own exchange — OpenFlow routes fills and settles exchange-to-exchange via USDC on Solana.

⭐ FeaturedElectionsUS ElectionPoliticsGovernor midterms

California Governor Election Winner

Opens Oct 9, 2025Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Total volume

$40.3M

24h volume

$1K

Liquidity

$6.8M

Open interest

$798K

Resolves

Nov 3, 2026

Comments

7d volume

$27K

30d volume

$652K

1yr volume

$16.1M

Competitive

84.1%

Odds history

#OutcomeChance

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?▲ 0.1% 1w▲ 5.3% 1m

0.1% spread

94%

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?▼ 0.1% 1d▲ 0.5% 1w▼ 3.9% 1m

0.1% spread

Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?▼ 0.1% 1m

0.1% spread

Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?

0.1% spread

Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?

0.1% spread

Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?

0.1% spread

Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?

0.1% spread

Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?

0.1% spread

Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?

0.1% spread

Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?

0.1% spread

Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?

0.1% spread

Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?

0.1% spread

Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?

0.1% spread

Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?▼ 0.1% 1m

0.1% spread

Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?▼ 0.1% 1m

0.1% spread

Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?▼ 0.1% 1m

0.1% spread

Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?

0.1% spread

Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.2% 1m

0.1% spread

Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?

0.1% spread

Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?

0.1% spread

Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?▼ 0.1% 1m

0.1% spread

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?▼ 0.1% 1m

0.1% spread

Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?▼ 0.1% 1m

0.1% spread

Will Other win the California Governor Election in 2026?

100.0% spread

Min order: 5 USDCTick: 0.001Maker rewards ≥ 100 USDCMax spread: 2.5%

Order BookRick Caruso

Mid 0.1¢

PriceContractsTotal

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Price change▼ 0.1% 1m

📊 Market context

Xavier Becerra holds an 88.7% implied probability in the California governor race because the June 2, 2026 top-two primary produced a November general election matchup between the former U.S. Health and Human Services secretary and Republican Steve Hilton in a state with consistent Democratic advantages in statewide contests. Becerra consolidated Democratic support after surging in late primary re…

Rules summary

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.