California Governor Election Winner. Current implied probability: 0% yes. Total volume: $40.9M. Resolves November 3, 2026. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.

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California Governor Election Winner

Opens Resolves
Total volume
$40.9M
24h volume
$3K
Liquidity
$6.4M
Open interest
$833K
Resolves
Nov 3, 2026
Comments
89
7d volume
$53K
30d volume
$387K
1yr volume
$11.3M
Competitive
83.1%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? 0.3% 1d 0.1% 1w 1.7% 1m
0.2% spread
95%
2Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? 0.4% 1d 1.4% 1m
0.1% spread
5%
3Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? 0.1% 1d 0.1% 1w 0.1% 1m
0.2% spread
0%
4Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
5Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
6Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
7Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
8Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
9Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
10Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
11Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
12Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
13Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
14Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
15Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
16Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
17Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
18Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
19Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
20Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
21Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
22Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
23Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
24Will Other win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Will Other win the California Governor Election in 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
Min order: 5 USDCTick: 0.001Maker rewards ≥ 100 USDCMax spread: 2.5%
Order BookRick Caruso
Mid 0.1¢
PriceContractsTotal
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📊 Market context

Xavier Becerra holds a commanding position in the 2026 California gubernatorial race due to the state's strong Democratic voter registration advantage and his consolidation of party support following the June primary, where he and Republican Steve Hilton advanced to face off in November. Recent polls, including Berkeley IGS and PPIC surveys from summer 2026, show Becerra leading Hilton by double-d…

Rules summary

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Buy Yes · Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?
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California Governor Election Winner — Odds & Predictions 2026 | OpenFlow